Nationals Baseball: Center Post

Friday, March 02, 2012

Center Post

Kill-Gore at the Post takes on the Nats centerfield issues. Worth a read despite calling Ian Desmond a "stalwart".  This paragraph is a fun one to think about:
For this spring, that meant re-signing Ankiel with a minor league deal. (The Nationals, Rizzo said, were surprised Ankiel could be had for a non-guaranteed contract.) Ankiel won the center-field job last season, convincing the Nationals to trade Morgan to the Milwaukee Brewers. Despite two stints on the disabled list, Ankiel provided excellent defense; Nationals scouts and statistical analysts alike graded him highly.
Ok, first off, why were the Nats surprised that Ankiel could be had for a non-guaranteed contract? He's a 33 year old who can neither get on base or slug anymore.  He was the 24th best CF in the league (by Fangraphs WAR) last year and that had everything to do with an oddly productive defensive year.  I looked through all the teams and found two that may have wanted him for a CF (given his bat wanting him for LF or RF seemed like a non-starter).  The Marlins (currently projected to start Emilio Bonaficio) and the White Sox (someone named de Aja).  Sooo pretty obvious here - Ankiel could be had on a non-guaranteed contract because 27 teams had obviously better options available, 2 of the other 3 had chosen another direction, and his bat and primary skill (rocket arm!) don't make him worth a guaranteed bench deal.

Second, did Ankiel winning the job really convince the Nats to trade Morgan for a guy who has a last name that sounds familiar? (who incidentally karaoked with Jamie Lynn Sigler  the other night and doesn't even get an off-hand mention from the Sports Bog.  That's how meaningless this guy is right now to the Nats). Really? Or did Nyjer wear out his welcome and Rizzo kick him to the curb to satisfy his obsession with "clubhouse" guys? I know which way I'm betting.

Third. I'm gonna go ahead and HOPE that the scouts and stat analysts had him graded highly defensively.  Not because that makes any sense, as the lifetime numbers peg him as average to slightly below average, but at least they could tease out a defense to... no no on second thought if you are gonna use the word "highly" you can't even defend that.  You can defend "not embarrasing",  "acceptable", "best available at the money the Nats are willing to dole out", maybe even "good enough that they thought he could squeeze out one decent year at this age" but not "highly".  The scouts and stat guys might know what they are doing in other places, but if they really graded out Ankiel highly - they need new guys to do their CF scouting and analysis. 

67 comments:

Donald said...

So do you think Kilgore was:
a) writing a fluff piece to fill up space until a real story comes along.
b) publishing Rizzo's true thoughts on the topic.
c) doing Rizzo's bidding to get it out there that the Nats aren't in the least bit desperate for a CF, thank you very much, so Lannan is all you're going to get in trade and that's our final offer.

Wally said...

An LAA blog ran a poll for Angels fans - would you trade Bourjos for Rendon (ignore that he can't be traded yet, although I do think that he is now within the six month window for PTBNL).

More than 50% said yes. I think that I would do it too.

Anonymous said...

this blog is always so dang negative its annoying to read.

Harper said...

Donald - it was a fine article just that paragraph was kind of silly - all the Ankiel love was probably a bit of c, but what is Kilgore gonna do? You gotta work with what they give you.

Wally - I would do it if I were the Nats.

Anon - less "negative" more "not positive". If it makes you feel any better - the Nats other "problems" (when to bring up their superstar OF prospect, what to do with 7 viable starters) are issues other teams would love to have.

DezoPenguin said...

@Wally & Harper:

Me, too. So fast it would make my neck snap from the whiplash. Especially since Rendon is now blocked at 3B by Zimm's new contract, so his utility depends on (a) his ability to learn to play 2B as well as (b) the question of whether he'll develop into the star people think he will be. Meanwhile, Bourjos is young, an excellent defender, and as a bonus would be a better leadoff hitter than any of our present options (except maybe Werth).

Anonymous said...

@Harper I am kind of with you but I tend to think this is a non-story, example of Rizzo giving props to someone he probably personally likes more than anything else. Ankiel sounds like someone they all respect. Basically we're probably looking at whomever is the starting CF to play the magic "21 days" or whatever it is until Harper is brought up.

Anonymous said...

I've been trying to catch up with WashPost stuff, but I thought this was an interesting aside by Kilgore recently:

A quick aside: LaRoche will make $8 million this season, and the Nationals have an option for him in 2013 worth $10 million. All logic dictates that the Nationals will simply buy LaRoche out for $1 million rather than picking up the option – move Morse back to first base, acquire a long-term center fielder, put Jayson Werth and Bryce Harper at the corners and wish Laroche well. So, saying LaRoche will “probably” be back after “he has a big year” is classic Davey. He is, at once, trying to publicly ease any concerns LaRoche may have about his future and casually setting a high expectation for him.)

mike said...

How about Lannan and some prospects for Peter Bourjos. The Angels could improve at the 5th starter and don't need that many outfeilders.

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